Manchester City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
ARS
7 - 3
MAC
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
MAC
0 - 3
BPO
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
MUD
2 - 0
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1956 |
LEE
2 - 0
MAC
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 2
BPO
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
BUR
4 - 1
SHW
49%
23%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
BUR
1 - 1
OPA
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1956 |
EVE
1 - 0
BUR
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |