Manchester City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
6º
4º
23
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 90 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 76 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 75 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 75 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 61 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 60 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 58 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 57 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 54 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 51 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 51 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 50 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 46 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 46 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 42 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 38 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 34 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
19º
|
9 | 31 |
18º
|
29.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 28 |
19º
|
31% | |
|
20º
|
5 | 24 |
20º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
86% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
8% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WHU
1 - 3
MAC
10%
16%
74%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 1
IPS
90%
8%
2%
|
100 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 2
MAC
14%
19%
68%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
81%
12%
7%
|
100 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 2
CHL
79%
14%
8%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
3 - 1
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
BRE
12%
19%
69%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 0
BRE
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
CRY
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 4
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |