Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAC
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
MAC
0 - 0
NEW
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
NEW
3 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1920 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
ASV
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAC
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
1 - 0
HUR
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
SHW
77%
13%
9%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1920 |
BBU
5 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |