Manchester City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
SHW
2 - 1
MAC
69%
19%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
MAC
1 - 2
WAT
32%
26%
43%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1987 |
MAC
1 - 1
TOT
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
MAC
2 - 4
SOU
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
ASV
0 - 0
MAC
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
ARS
4 - 1
LEI
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
WIM
1 - 2
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1987 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
WHU
3 - 1
ARS
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |