Managua vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
3º
1º
13
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 14 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 14 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 12 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 55% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 45% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
UNA
2 - 2
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 3
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 6 | 59 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
CDS
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 1
MAN
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
2 - 1
WAL
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
4 - 0
UNA
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
6 - 0
MFC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 2
MFC
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -3 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 2
EST
56%
22%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |