Mamelodi Sundowns vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
SUN
3 - 1
SSU
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
SUN
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PLS
1 - 0
SUN
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
SUN
0 - 0
MPU
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 1
AMA
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 0
BLO
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
FRE
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BID
2 - 0
FRE
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 5
POL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 0
AMA
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |