Malmö FF vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
1º
1º
41
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 64 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 54 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 54 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 50 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 47 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 46 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 44 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 34 |
11º
|
45.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 34 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 30 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 23 |
16º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
99% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
MFF
5 - 0
KAL
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
HÄC
2 - 2
MFF
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
MFF
1 - 0
GAI
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
GÖT
0 - 3
MFF
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ELF
3 - 1
MFF
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 0
HAL
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GAI
2 - 1
ELF
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
ELF
6 - 1
AIK
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DJU
2 - 0
ELF
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ELF
3 - 1
MFF
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |