Mallorca B vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
16º
18º
18º
17
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 64 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 57 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 55 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 55 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 52 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 52 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 51 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 51 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 51 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 50 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 42 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 42 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 41 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 36 |
15º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 36 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 32 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
6 | 23 |
18º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 53% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallorca B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 0
MLL
64%
23%
13%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MLL
1 - 3
TER
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PXD
2 - 1
MLL
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 0
MLL
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MLL
0 - 2
IBI
34%
24%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
ELC
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALZ
0 - 1
VAL
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
OLO
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
TER
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
ZAR
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |