Mallorca B vs UD Arenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
8º
2º
26
10º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 17 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallorca B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BNS
0 - 1
MLL
12%
20%
67%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MLL
6 - 0
IMA
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
MLL
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MLL
3 - 0
FLN
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CFP
0 - 0
MLL
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Arenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
UDA
0 - 3
PBL
13%
20%
68%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
UDA
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 2
CLL
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UDA
0 - 2
IBI
11%
18%
72%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BNS
1 - 0
UDA
42%
26%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |