Mali vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2004 |
SEN
1 - 1
MLI
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
BFA
1 - 3
MLI
21%
24%
56%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
KEN
1 - 3
MLI
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 2
MLI
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
MLI
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
GUI
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
COD
1 - 2
GUI
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2004 |
BFA
0 - 1
GUI
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MOZ
3 - 4
GUI
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |