Mali vs Guinea-Bisáu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 1
CTA
88%
10%
3%
|
79 | 39 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MLI
3 - 1
CHA
84%
13%
4%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
KSA
1 - 3
MLI
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 0
UGA
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MLI
4 - 0
SSD
86%
11%
3%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
DJI
0 - 1
GNB
12%
17%
71%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
BFA
1 - 1
GNB
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 0
GNB
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
GNB
2 - 1
SLE
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
STP
0 - 1
GNB
14%
18%
68%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |