Mali vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1997 |
MLI
3 - 1
MUS
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1997 |
KWT
8 - 1
MLI
70%
20%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1997 |
SAU
5 - 1
MLI
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
TUN
1 - 0
MLI
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
BFA
2 - 0
MLI
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1997 |
MLI
3 - 1
MUS
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
SYR
1 - 0
MUS
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1996 |
MUS
0 - 0
MDG
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1994 |
MLI
0 - 0
MUS
76%
17%
7%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1994 |
MLI
0 - 0
MUS
78%
16%
7%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +1 |