COSAFA Cup Grupo A round 3

Malawi vs Angola analysis

Malawi Angola
57 ELO 65
-8.7% Tilt -19.2%
13877º General ELO ranking 14000º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.3%
Malawi
26.5%
Draw
44.1%
Angola

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
Malawi
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.1%
Win probability
Angola
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Malawi
-3%
+21%
Angola

ELO progression

Malawi
Angola
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Malawi
Malawi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jun. 2017
MWI
Malawi
0 - 0
Mauritius
MUS
69%
19%
12%
57 43 14 0
25 Jun. 2017
TAN
Tanzania
2 - 0
Malawi
MWI
43%
27%
31%
59 56 3 -2
10 Jun. 2017
MWI
Malawi
1 - 0
Comoros
COM
79%
15%
6%
59 22 37 0
29 Apr. 2017
MWI
Malawi
0 - 1
Madagascar
MAD
47%
25%
27%
59 56 3 0
22 Apr. 2017
MAD
Madagascar
1 - 0
Malawi
MWI
34%
27%
40%
60 55 5 -1

Matches

Angola
Angola
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jun. 2017
ANG
Angola
0 - 0
Tanzania
TAN
52%
25%
23%
66 58 8 0
25 Jun. 2017
MUS
Mauritius
0 - 1
Angola
ANG
14%
23%
64%
65 44 21 +1
10 Jun. 2017
BFA
Burkina Faso
3 - 1
Angola
ANG
55%
24%
21%
66 70 4 -1
28 Mar. 2017
RSA
South Africa
0 - 0
Angola
ANG
64%
24%
13%
65 82 17 +1
25 Mar. 2017
MOZ
Mozambique
2 - 0
Angola
ANG
25%
26%
50%
67 58 9 -2