Málaga vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 2
MAL
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 1
OSA
67%
21%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAD
1 - 2
MAL
23%
27%
51%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
MAL
4 - 1
NGA
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 8 | 78 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 4
MAL
32%
27%
42%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
SEV
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
VIL
32%
28%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LEG
3 - 2
VIL
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |