LaLiga Jor. 37

Málaga vs Sevilla analysis

Málaga Sevilla
86 ELO 85
-4.9% Tilt -12.4%
1021º General ELO ranking 59º
44º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
51.1%
Málaga
25.7%
Draw
23.2%
Sevilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
Málaga
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.2%
Win probability
Sevilla
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Málaga
+8%
-5%
Sevilla

ELO progression

Málaga
Sevilla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2003
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
Málaga
MAL
74%
16%
10%
86 91 5 0
25 May. 2003
MAL
Málaga
0 - 2
Real Sociedad
RSO
39%
26%
34%
86 88 2 0
18 May. 2003
RMA
Real Madrid
5 - 1
Málaga
MAL
79%
14%
7%
86 93 7 0
10 May. 2003
MAL
Málaga
0 - 2
RC Deportivo
DEP
30%
26%
44%
87 91 4 -1
04 May. 2003
VIL
Villarreal
0 - 0
Málaga
MAL
41%
27%
32%
87 83 4 0

Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2003
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 0
Recreativo
REC
66%
21%
13%
85 80 5 0
25 May. 2003
MLL
Mallorca
1 - 3
Sevilla
SEV
64%
21%
15%
85 88 3 0
18 May. 2003
SEV
Sevilla
3 - 3
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
53%
24%
23%
85 83 2 0
11 May. 2003
SEV
Sevilla
0 - 0
Barcelona
FCB
31%
26%
42%
85 91 6 0
03 May. 2003
RSO
Real Sociedad
1 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
65%
20%
15%
85 88 3 0
X