Málaga vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MLL
1 - 2
MAL
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
MAL
0 - 0
ZAR
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 0
MAL
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
MAL
2 - 3
BET
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
RSO
1 - 1
MAL
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
NUM
1 - 0
GET
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
RMA
1 - 0
NUM
88%
9%
4%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NUM
1 - 1
BET
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
NUM
2 - 0
REC
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 1
NUM
22%
28%
50%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |