Makedonikos Neapolis vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
65.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
7º
8º
35
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 9 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 9 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 2 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonikos Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 3
MKN
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MKN
1 - 3
LEV
9%
23%
68%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 0
MKN
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MKN
0 - 1
KAM
52%
25%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
APO
0 - 3
MKN
27%
28%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 2
LEV
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 3
LAR
24%
28%
48%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 1
LAR
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
APO
1 - 3
LAR
7%
21%
73%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 2
LAR
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |