Makedonija GP vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
9º
5º
27
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
INH
1 - 0
MAK
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 2
SVA
51%
23%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 0
MAK
64%
20%
15%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 3
BER
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
1 - 2
MAK
6%
11%
83%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 1
FKD
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
AKP
7 - 0
KGE
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
KYZ
2 - 0
AKP
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ZOR
2 - 0
AKP
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
AKP
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |