Mairena vs UD Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 1
MAI
52%
23%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 2
CDD
69%
19%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 0
MAI
51%
23%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 2
MAI
49%
24%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 0
MON
48%
24%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 0
CDD
30%
24%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
MOR
49%
23%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 1
MSQ
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UDR
1 - 0
MOR
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |