Mainz 05 vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
SAA
1 - 0
M05
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
M05
2 - 5
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
F95
1 - 0
M05
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
M05
0 - 3
LOK
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
MEP
3 - 0
M05
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
WAT
0 - 0
STP
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1995 |
HER
3 - 1
WAT
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
WAT
0 - 0
FCN
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
HAN
0 - 1
WAT
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
WAT
0 - 1
KÖL
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |