Mainz 05 vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.2%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
89.4%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
14.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20.1%
0-4
11.4%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
15.1%
0-5
7.3%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
9.3%
0-6
3.9%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.8%
0-7
1.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2.2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
M05
5 - 2
RTV
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
M05
1 - 2
BVB
15%
19%
66%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
STU
1 - 1
M05
36%
25%
40%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HOF
2 - 2
M05
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 5
M05
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BYM
1 - 1
EIN
80%
13%
7%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BYM
1 - 1
KOL
87%
9%
4%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
RBL
1 - 1
BYM
11%
16%
73%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
BYM
4 - 4
RBS
89%
8%
3%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
S04
0 - 2
BYM
3%
8%
89%
|
96 | 73 | 23 | 0 |