Mainz 05 U19 vs Kickers Offenbach FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
4º
3º
7
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 34 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 31 |
2º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 25 |
3º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 19 |
4º
|
54% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 19 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 11 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 10 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 9 |
8º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAI
5 - 2
FRA
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SMS
2 - 0
MAI
38%
23%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 2
KAR
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 2
FSV
83%
10%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 2
MAI
20%
19%
61%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Kickers Offenbach FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 1
KOF
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOF
1 - 4
NUR
30%
21%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 2
FSV
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
KOF
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
KOF
3 - 1
SMS
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | +3 |