Mainz 05 U17 vs SSV Jahn Regensburg U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
13º
5º
24
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EIF
4 - 2
M05
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
M05
5 - 1
FCN
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KSC
0 - 0
M05
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
M05
3 - 2
AUG
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 5
M05
11%
16%
73%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SSV Jahn Regensburg U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SJR
1 - 5
HOF
12%
15%
74%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SVU
4 - 2
SJR
56%
20%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SJR
3 - 2
SCF
37%
22%
42%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STK
1 - 2
SJR
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SJR
2 - 2
BMC
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |