Mainz 05 II vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
MAI
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
OFC
1 - 0
MAI
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 1
SGS
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 1
MAI
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
PIR
2 - 0
MAI
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
SDO
1 - 2
VFR
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
NOT
3 - 0
VFR
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FVS
0 - 3
VFR
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DUD
0 - 1
VFR
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
HOF
2 - 4
VFR
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |