National League round 38

Maidenhead United vs Dorking Wanderers analysis

Maidenhead United Dorking Wanderers
46 ELO 43
-9.5% Tilt -5.2%
4609º General ELO ranking 5373º
160º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
40.1%
Maidenhead United
25.5%
Draw
34.4%
Dorking Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
Maidenhead United
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.4%
Win probability
Dorking Wanderers
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maidenhead United
-10%
+70%
Dorking Wanderers

Points and table prediction

Maidenhead United
Their league position
Dorking Wanderers
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
23º
14º
45
12º
23º
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
23º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chesterfield
98
98
100%
Barnet
86
86
100%
Bromley
81
81
100%
Altrincham
77
77
100%
Solihull Moors
76
76
100%
Southend United
65
75
0%
Gateshead
75
75
0%
FC Halifax Town
71
71
100%
Aldershot Town
69
69
100%
Oldham Athletic AFC
10º
63
63
10º
100%
Rochdale
11º
62
62
11º
100%
Hartlepool United
12º
60
60
12º
100%
Eastleigh
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Maidenhead United
14º
58
58
14º
100%
Dagenham & Redbridge
15º
56
56
15º
0%
Wealdstone
16º
56
56
16º
0%
Fylde
18º
55
55
17º
0%
Woking
17º
55
55
18º
0%
Ebbsfleet United
19º
54
54
19º
100%
York City
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Boreham Wood
21º
52
52
21º
100%
Kidderminster Harriers
22º
46
46
22º
100%
Dorking Wanderers
23º
45
45
23º
100%
Oxford City
24º
33
33
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Maidenhead United
Dorking Wanderers
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Maidenhead United
Dorking Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maidenhead United
Maidenhead United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2024
FYL
Fylde
4 - 1
Maidenhead United
MAI
59%
22%
19%
46 50 4 0
24 Feb. 2024
ALT
Altrincham
1 - 3
Maidenhead United
MAI
69%
19%
12%
45 54 9 +1
20 Feb. 2024
MAI
Maidenhead United
1 - 2
Southend United
SOU
28%
28%
45%
46 52 6 -1
17 Feb. 2024
MAI
Maidenhead United
1 - 3
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
25%
26%
49%
47 54 7 -1
13 Feb. 2024
HAL
FC Halifax Town
2 - 1
Maidenhead United
MAI
50%
26%
24%
47 51 4 0

Matches

Dorking Wanderers
Dorking Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2024
ALT
Altrincham
2 - 1
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
59%
21%
20%
45 49 4 0
02 Mar. 2024
DOR
Dorking Wanderers
4 - 1
Chesterfield
CHE
12%
20%
68%
44 65 21 +1
24 Feb. 2024
DOR
Dorking Wanderers
1 - 4
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
35%
23%
42%
45 50 5 -1
17 Feb. 2024
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
0 - 0
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
47%
25%
28%
45 49 4 0
13 Feb. 2024
YOR
York City
0 - 1
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
55%
23%
22%
45 50 5 0