Maghreb Fes vs Moghreb Tetouan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
11º
11º
36
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maghreb Fes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 2
WYD
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
HAS
3 - 0
MAG
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 1
FAR
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
SCC
3 - 0
MAG
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 0
UTS
40%
28%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moghreb Tetouan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
MOU
2 - 1
MOG
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 1
FUR
44%
29%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
OCK
3 - 0
MOG
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 2
CCR
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
WYD
2 - 0
MOG
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |