1st Division round 1

Magesi vs Venda analysis

Magesi Venda
53 ELO 54
-1.2% Tilt 0%
2024º General ELO ranking 2892º
18º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
39.3%
Magesi
26.2%
Draw
34.5%
Venda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
Magesi
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.5%
Win probability
Venda
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Magesi
+49%
-6%
Venda

Points and table prediction

Magesi
Their league position
Venda
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
14º
12º
35
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cape Town Spurs
56
59
77.5%
Polokwane City
54
57
39%
Casric Stars
55
56
45.5%
47
48
61%
Hungry Lions
47
48
61%
JDR Stars
43
43
100%
Uthongathi
41
41
62%
Pretoria Callies FC
39
39
51.5%
Pretoria University
39
39
67%
Baroka
10º
36
39
10º
63.5%
Venda
11º
35
38
11º
54.5%
Magesi
12º
34
35
12º
79%
NB La Masia
13º
32
32
13º
100%
Platinum City Rovers
14º
31
31
14º
100%
TTM
15º
23
23
15º
75%
Black Leopards
16º
22
22
16º
75%
Expected probabilities
Magesi
Venda
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Magesi
Venda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Magesi
Magesi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2017
MBO
Mbombela United
3 - 0
Magesi
MAG
62%
21%
17%
51 58 7 0
10 May. 2017
MAG
Magesi
6 - 0
Royal AM
RKF
39%
26%
35%
49 53 4 +2
06 May. 2017
BLA
Black Leopards
4 - 1
Magesi
MAG
64%
20%
16%
50 56 6 -1
03 May. 2017
MAG
Magesi
1 - 0
Cape Town All Stars
ALL
41%
26%
33%
49 54 5 +1
30 Apr. 2017
THA
Thanda Royal Zulu
2 - 1
Magesi
MAG
66%
19%
15%
49 57 8 0

Matches

Venda
Venda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2022
VFA
Venda
1 - 1
Free State Stars
FRE
40%
29%
31%
55 56 1 0
08 May. 2022
BLA
Black Leopards
1 - 1
Venda
VFA
40%
29%
31%
55 56 1 0
30 Apr. 2022
PRE
Pretoria University
1 - 0
Venda
VFA
45%
28%
27%
55 59 4 0
23 Apr. 2022
VFA
Venda
0 - 2
TS Sporting
TSS
52%
25%
23%
56 51 5 -1
17 Apr. 2022
COS
Jomo Cosmos
2 - 3
Venda
VFA
26%
28%
46%
56 50 6 0