2. Bundesliga round 21

Magdeburg vs FC St Pauli analysis

Magdeburg FC St Pauli
74 ELO 82
3.3% Tilt 27.2%
666º General ELO ranking 201º
34º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
21%
Magdeburg
21.8%
Draw
57.1%
FC St Pauli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
Magdeburg
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.2%
Win probability
FC St Pauli
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Magdeburg
Their league position
FC St Pauli
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
14º
14º
69
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC St Pauli
69
69
100%
Holstein Kiel
68
68
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
63
63
100%
Hamburger SV
58
58
100%
Karlsruher SC
55
55
100%
Hannover 96
52
52
100%
Paderborn
52
52
100%
Greuther Fürth
50
50
100%
Hertha BSC
48
48
100%
Schalke 04
10º
43
43
10º
0%
SV Elversberg
11º
43
43
11º
0%
Nürnberg
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Kaiserslautern
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Magdeburg
14º
38
38
14º
0%
Eintracht Braunschweig
15º
38
38
15º
0%
Wehen Wiesbaden
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Hansa Rostock
17º
31
31
17º
100%
VfL Osnabrück
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Magdeburg
FC St Pauli
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Magdeburg
FC St Pauli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Magdeburg
Magdeburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2024
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
33%
24%
43%
73 77 4 0
28 Jan. 2024
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 - 0
Magdeburg
MAG
22%
23%
54%
74 65 9 -1
21 Jan. 2024
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 0
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
45%
25%
30%
73 72 1 +1
12 Jan. 2024
MTK
MTK Budapest
2 - 4
Magdeburg
MAG
29%
21%
50%
73 66 7 0
09 Jan. 2024
SSG
Sepsi
2 - 1
Magdeburg
MAG
48%
23%
29%
73 78 5 0

Matches

FC St Pauli
FC St Pauli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
STP
FC St Pauli
3 - 2
Greuther Fürth
SGF
51%
25%
24%
82 76 6 0
30 Jan. 2024
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
39%
24%
37%
82 80 2 0
27 Jan. 2024
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
39%
23%
38%
82 80 2 0
20 Jan. 2024
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
57%
24%
20%
81 71 10 +1
12 Jan. 2024
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
3 - 1
FC St Pauli
STP
17%
20%
64%
81 66 15 0