Regionalliga Nord round 10

Magdeburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis

Magdeburg Fortuna Düsseldorf
56 ELO 54
37.4% Tilt 17.7%
740º General ELO ranking 242º
34º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
68.5%
Magdeburg
17.5%
Draw
13.9%
Fortuna Düsseldorf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
Magdeburg
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.9%
Win probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Magdeburg
-2%
+9%
Fortuna Düsseldorf

ELO progression

Magdeburg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Magdeburg
Magdeburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2001
VER
Verl
3 - 3
Magdeburg
MAG
46%
24%
29%
56 57 1 0
15 Sep. 2001
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 3
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
64%
19%
18%
57 56 1 -1
07 Sep. 2001
BAY
B. Leverkusen II
2 - 1
Magdeburg
MAG
30%
25%
45%
58 48 10 -1
02 Sep. 2001
MAG
Magdeburg
2 - 1
Wattenscheid 09
WAT
56%
21%
24%
58 59 1 0
26 Aug. 2001
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 5
Wolfsburg
WOL
28%
26%
46%
58 83 25 0

Matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2001
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 - 2
Werder Bremen II
WER
39%
25%
36%
55 57 2 0
19 Sep. 2001
BAY
B. Leverkusen II
1 - 4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
40%
27%
34%
54 49 5 +1
15 Sep. 2001
VER
Verl
0 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
57%
23%
20%
54 58 4 0
10 Sep. 2001
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
45%
26%
30%
54 54 0 0
02 Sep. 2001
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
1 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
56%
23%
21%
53 56 3 +1