Primera B Chile round 16

Magallanes vs La Serena analysis

Magallanes La Serena
54 ELO 55
1.6% Tilt -7.1%
676º General ELO ranking 1001º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Magallanes
25.5%
Draw
32%
La Serena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
Magallanes
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32%
Win probability
La Serena
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Magallanes
+19%
+24%
La Serena

ELO progression

Magallanes
La Serena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Magallanes
Magallanes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 2018
ULC
Unión La Calera
1 - 0
Magallanes
MAG
71%
18%
11%
55 68 13 0
17 Jun. 2018
MAG
Magallanes
1 - 1
Unión La Calera
ULC
20%
22%
58%
55 68 13 0
03 Jun. 2018
NUB
Ñublense
2 - 1
Magallanes
MAG
49%
26%
24%
55 57 2 0
27 May. 2018
MAG
Magallanes
2 - 1
San Marcos Arica
SAN
47%
26%
28%
55 55 0 0
20 May. 2018
MAG
Magallanes
0 - 1
Rangers Talca
CSD
48%
25%
27%
55 55 0 0

Matches

La Serena
La Serena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2018
DLS
La Serena
3 - 1
Deportes Copiapó
DCO
39%
25%
36%
55 58 3 0
17 Jun. 2018
UCH
Univ de Chile
2 - 0
La Serena
DLS
77%
15%
8%
56 75 19 -1
10 Jun. 2018
DLS
La Serena
1 - 4
Univ de Chile
UCH
16%
20%
64%
57 74 17 -1
03 Jun. 2018
DLS
La Serena
3 - 3
Deportes Valdivia
VAL
49%
25%
27%
57 54 3 0
28 May. 2018
CSD
Rangers Talca
3 - 1
La Serena
DLS
37%
27%
36%
58 55 3 -1