Carioca 1 Copa Guanabara round 2

Madureira RJ vs Flamengo analysis

Madureira RJ Flamengo
45 ELO 90
-14.8% Tilt -13.6%
5243º General ELO ranking 73º
199º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
3.5%
Madureira RJ
13.7%
Draw
82.8%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
Madureira RJ
0.29
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.7%
82.8%
Win probability
Flamengo
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
24%
0-2
19.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.7%
0-3
15.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Madureira RJ
-8%
+17%
Flamengo

ELO progression

Madureira RJ
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Madureira RJ
Madureira RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
Madureira RJ
MAD
87%
10%
3%
44 73 29 0
31 Aug. 2022
MAD
Madureira RJ
0 - 1
Paduano
PAD
54%
23%
24%
45 38 7 -1
25 Aug. 2022
PAD
Paduano
2 - 0
Madureira RJ
MAD
20%
22%
59%
46 35 11 -1
13 Mar. 2022
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
3 - 0
Madureira RJ
MAD
51%
26%
23%
47 53 6 -1
06 Mar. 2022
MAD
Madureira RJ
1 - 3
Audax Rio
AUD
51%
26%
23%
48 46 2 -1

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
4 - 1
Portuguesa RJ
POR
88%
9%
3%
90 56 34 0
13 Jan. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Audax Rio
AUD
90%
8%
2%
90 44 46 0
12 Nov. 2022
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Avaí
AVA
83%
13%
5%
90 72 18 0
10 Nov. 2022
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
10%
19%
72%
90 71 19 0
06 Nov. 2022
COT
Coritiba
1 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
12%
20%
68%
90 77 13 0