Carioca 1 round 5

Madureira RJ vs Audax Rio analysis

Madureira RJ Audax Rio
56 ELO 48
-1.9% Tilt -5.7%
5241º General ELO ranking 5108º
199º Country ELO ranking 188º
ELO win probability
62.8%
Madureira RJ
20.3%
Draw
16.9%
Audax Rio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
Madureira RJ
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.9%
Win probability
Audax Rio
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Madureira RJ
-8%
+26%
Audax Rio

ELO progression

Madureira RJ
Audax Rio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Madureira RJ
Madureira RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2013
MAD
Madureira RJ
2 - 1
Macaé Esporte
MAC
37%
25%
38%
56 59 3 0
27 Jan. 2013
BOA
Boavista SC
0 - 1
Madureira RJ
MAD
50%
23%
27%
55 56 1 +1
23 Jan. 2013
MAD
Madureira RJ
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
16%
22%
61%
55 79 24 0
19 Jan. 2013
RES
Resende
1 - 1
Madureira RJ
MAD
48%
23%
29%
55 55 0 0
27 Oct. 2012
OES
Oeste
0 - 0
Madureira RJ
MAD
56%
24%
20%
55 60 5 0

Matches

Audax Rio
Audax Rio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2013
AUD
Audax Rio
0 - 4
Botafogo
BOT
10%
18%
72%
48 82 34 0
26 Jan. 2013
FRI
Friburguense
2 - 3
Audax Rio
AUD
54%
22%
23%
47 51 4 +1
23 Jan. 2013
AUD
Audax Rio
2 - 1
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
44%
25%
31%
46 48 2 +1
19 Jan. 2013
OLA
Olaria
0 - 0
Audax Rio
AUD
52%
25%
23%
45 53 8 +1
28 Jul. 2012
SAO
São João da Barra
1 - 4
Audax Rio
AUD
36%
24%
40%
44 39 5 +1