Madre de Deus vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madre de Deus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MDE
0 - 2
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
CFC
2 - 2
MDE
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
IPI
1 - 2
MDE
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
MDE
1 - 1
ITA
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
POC
1 - 0
MDE
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 0
IPI
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
FEI
3 - 3
ALA
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
CFC
48%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
BAH
6 - 0
ALA
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 0
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |