Madagascar vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
MAD
0 - 2
NAM
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 1
ANG
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
GHA
3 - 0
MAD
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 1
TAN
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
MAD
54%
23%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 0
MOZ
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
RSA
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 0
RSA
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 0
GUI
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
GHA
1 - 0
RSA
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |