J2 League round 13

Machida Zelvia vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis

Machida Zelvia Giravanz Kitakyushu
69 ELO 58
-12.9% Tilt -5%
445º General ELO ranking 3298º
12º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
59.9%
Machida Zelvia
24.2%
Draw
15.9%
Giravanz Kitakyushu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
Machida Zelvia
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15.9%
Win probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Machida Zelvia
+1%
+11%
Giravanz Kitakyushu

ELO progression

Machida Zelvia
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2016
KAM
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 - 1
Machida Zelvia
MAC
24%
28%
48%
70 59 11 0
03 May. 2016
MAC
Machida Zelvia
1 - 1
Gifu
GIF
61%
23%
16%
70 54 16 0
29 Apr. 2016
FAG
Fagiano Okayama
2 - 2
Machida Zelvia
MAC
29%
29%
42%
70 63 7 0
23 Apr. 2016
MAC
Machida Zelvia
1 - 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
VVA
58%
25%
17%
70 59 11 0
17 Apr. 2016
JEF
JEF United
1 - 1
Machida Zelvia
MAC
30%
29%
42%
70 61 9 0

Matches

Giravanz Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2016
MIT
Mito Hollyhock
1 - 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
45%
28%
28%
57 57 0 0
03 May. 2016
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 - 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
VVA
50%
26%
25%
57 58 1 0
29 Apr. 2016
KAM
Kamatamare Sanuki
1 - 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
43%
29%
28%
57 59 2 0
23 Apr. 2016
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 2
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
79%
14%
7%
58 34 24 -1
17 Apr. 2016
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
66%
21%
13%
58 70 12 0