Maccabi Haifa vs Beitar Jerusalem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
4º
3º
33
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 52 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 51 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 34 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 26 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 23 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 21 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
99.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maccabi Haifa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 0
MBR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
MAC
6 - 0
IRA
85%
10%
5%
|
80 | 17 | 63 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 3
MTA
44%
23%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 1
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
IRO
0 - 0
MAC
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Beitar Jerusalem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
3 - 0
BEI
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
KYA
2 - 2
BEI
25%
21%
54%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
BEI
1 - 1
IRO
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ASH
2 - 3
BEI
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
HBS
4 - 1
BEI
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |