Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
9º
8º
8
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
33% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 3
MFC
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 3
WUF
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 1
MFC
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
WES
3 - 1
MFC
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
PER
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PER
3 - 4
WPH
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
PER
2 - 3
MEL
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 2
PER
75%
16%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
PER
3 - 2
MFC
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |