Macarthur FC vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ADE
3 - 1
MFC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 2
BRI
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 0
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
WPH
0 - 1
MFC
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 1
WUF
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
MEL
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
WUF
35%
28%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
PER
2 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 4
ADE
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |