Macarthur FC vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
9º
8º
18
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 3.5% |
|
Next round
|
33% | 58.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 0
SUF
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MEL
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 3
MFC
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 0
PPC
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 27 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
WUF
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
WUF
1 - 3
ADE
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 5
SYD
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
40%
25%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ADE
6 - 0
MCI
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
ADE
3 - 0
CCM
32%
26%
43%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |