Lystrup vs Aarhus Fremad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lystrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HOL
5 - 0
LYS
54%
20%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LYS
0 - 0
IFL
43%
22%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
LYS
2 - 6
RAN
4%
11%
85%
|
31 | 77 | 46 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LYS
1 - 1
AAL
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SKA
0 - 2
LYS
53%
21%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AAR
2 - 0
SKA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
RAN
0 - 4
AAR
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AAR
1 - 2
AAR
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SKJ
1 - 3
AAR
10%
16%
75%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AAR
2 - 2
VAT
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |