Luzi 2008 vs Burreli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
12º
11º
40
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ELB
5 - 2
LUZ
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 2
BES
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
APO
1 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 2
LUS
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VOR
3 - 1
LUZ
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
TOM
46%
26%
27%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
4 - 2
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
KOR
24%
29%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 1
ELB
33%
27%
40%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BES
0 - 0
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |