Luzern vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
FCL
1 - 1
MEY
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2005 |
YFJ
3 - 1
FCL
21%
22%
57%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2005 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCL
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUG
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
FCV
1 - 2
FCL
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
SIO
1 - 0
WIN
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
WIN
2 - 1
CON
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
WIL
2 - 1
WIN
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
WIN
0 - 3
FCV
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
WIN
2 - 0
BUL
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |