Luzern vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
11º
3º
35
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 55 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 54 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 52 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 50 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 49 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 49 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 47 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 41 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 34 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 32 |
11º
|
59.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
87% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
85% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 1
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LAU
0 - 0
FCL
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
WIN
1 - 5
FCL
30%
23%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 0
SCH
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 4
FCL
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
STG
3 - 2
LAU
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SER
1 - 1
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DAR
1 - 0
STG
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
KSC
1 - 2
STG
45%
23%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 1
STG
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |