Super League round 1

Luzern vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Luzern Neuchâtel Xamax
66 ELO 68
3% Tilt 13%
313º General ELO ranking 1899º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Luzern
25.6%
Draw
27.3%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
Luzern
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.3%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-1%
-13%
Neuchâtel Xamax

ELO progression

Luzern
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2007
BAS
Basel
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
83%
11%
6%
67 85 18 0
24 May. 2007
SIO
Sion
2 - 0
Luzern
FCL
52%
25%
23%
68 75 7 -1
19 May. 2007
FCL
Luzern
0 - 3
Basel
BAS
20%
22%
57%
69 84 15 -1
16 May. 2007
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 0
Luzern
FCL
68%
19%
13%
69 84 15 0
13 May. 2007
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
St. Gallen
STG
39%
26%
35%
69 77 8 0

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2007
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
21%
25%
54%
68 51 17 0
19 May. 2007
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
5 - 0
FC Baulmes
BAU
82%
14%
4%
68 42 26 0
16 May. 2007
KRI
SC Kriens
1 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
33%
26%
41%
68 58 10 0
12 May. 2007
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
3 - 1
Yverdon
YVE
69%
20%
11%
67 53 14 +1
09 May. 2007
CON
Concordia Basel
1 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
32%
25%
43%
67 55 12 0