Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
11º
6º
25
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 37 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 36 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 36 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 36 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 33 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 33 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 30 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 28 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 23 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 19 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
73.5% | 91% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26.5% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STG
2 - 3
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCL
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 0
FCL
21%
22%
58%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 0
WIN
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 2
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SCF
6 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 0
YVE
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |