Luxembourg U21 vs Israel U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
GER
6 - 0
LUX
82%
13%
5%
|
20 | 76 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 7
GER
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 76 | 56 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
5 - 0
LUX
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 2
MDA
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
LUX
1 - 2
NIR
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Israel U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ISR
1 - 0
MDA
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
ISR
2 - 1
CYP
73%
17%
11%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ISR
2 - 1
NIR
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
NIR
1 - 3
ISR
26%
24%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ISR
2 - 2
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |