Luton Town vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
PNE
2 - 0
LUT
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1957 |
LUT
1 - 0
OPA
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
LUT
0 - 2
BUR
52%
23%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
OPA
2 - 2
LUT
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
ARS
1 - 3
LUT
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
CHL
0 - 2
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
CHA
3 - 1
CHL
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
CHL
4 - 2
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1957 |
WOL
3 - 1
CHL
78%
13%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1957 |
CHL
2 - 2
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |