FA Cup 1/32
Global 3-7
Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
LUT
0 - 0
WRE
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
GIL
1 - 2
LUT
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1996 |
MIL
0 - 1
LUT
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
LUT
6 - 0
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
LUT
2 - 1
BOR
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 0
WOL
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
OPA
0 - 3
BOL
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1997 |
BOL
0 - 2
WIM
35%
24%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1997 |
BOL
2 - 1
BRA
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
BOL
3 - 1
SOU
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |