Lusitano VRSA vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
54%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 0
PIN
17%
24%
59%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
LUS
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OPE
0 - 0
LUS
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
LOU
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
IDE
1 - 2
CAS
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
EVN
80%
14%
7%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
OLH
3 - 0
CAS
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 0
CAS
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 0
MON
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |