Lusitano GC Évora vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
SPC
3 - 1
LGC
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
LGC
1 - 0
EST
63%
18%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
LGC
1 - 0
ATL
51%
21%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ACA
4 - 0
LGC
58%
19%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
FCB
4 - 1
LGC
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
VIT
1 - 0
FCB
50%
22%
28%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
FCP
6 - 0
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
SPB
4 - 0
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
8%
17%
75%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 0
VIT
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |